Building concrete growth plan for 2026

Dong Nai’s target for 2026 is to achieve economic growth of 10% or higher. This is a critical task in pursuit of the province’s long-term objective of high and sustainable growth in the years ahead.

Production at a business in Ho Nai Industrial Park (IP). Photo: Vuong The

To reach this target, the province has issued a specific action plan, assigning responsibilities to each sector and field while proactively developing appropriate implementation roadmaps.

Proactive growth roadmaps by quarter

Under Dong Nai’s 2026 growth scenario, the province aims for gross regional domestic product (GRDP) to rise by 10% compared with 2025, demonstrating its determination to maintain its role as a key industrial province in the southern region. At the same time, it seeks to promote a more balanced and sustainable growth structure among industry, services, and agriculture.

Industry and construction will continue to serve as the primary growth drivers, with projected growth of 11.77%. Of this, industrial output is expected to increase by 11.34%, reflecting expectations of a steady recovery in industrial production, particularly in processing and manufacturing. The construction sector is projected to grow by 15.34%, associated with accelerated infrastructure investment, development of industrial parks and urban areas, and social housing projects, thereby generating spillover effects across the entire economy.

According to experts, to fully leverage its advantages, Dong Nai needs to be granted special mechanisms and policies comparable to those applied to Ho Chi Minh City. This would help mobilize resources, remove growth bottlenecks, enhance investment attraction, create breakthroughs, and enable the province to become a growth pole for the region and the country as a whole.

Meanwhile, the services sector is targeted to grow by 9.48%, playing an important role in supporting production and stimulating consumer demand. The agriculture, forestry, and fisheries sector is set to grow by 4.13%, in line with the orientation toward developing in-depth agriculture, raising value added in association with the application of science and technology, and transformation of production models.

Regarding production and business activities of enterprises, statistics from Dong Nai’s statistical office show that enterprises forecast a more favorable business outlook in the first quarter of 2026. More than 52.3% of surveyed enterprises believe conditions will improve compared with the previous quarter, 33.85% expect stability, and 13.85% foresee greater difficulties. Similarly, as many as 52.8% of surveyed enterprises anticipate higher export orders. According to Cao Dang Vien, Head of Dong Nai Statistics Office, industry continues to be a bright spot and the backbone of the economy, serving as a key driver of overall provincial economic growth. The growth results reflect the proactive spirit and efforts of the business community and production facilities in overcoming challenges, while also demonstrating timely and effective support from authorities at all levels in removing obstacles and creating favorable conditions for stable production and development.

To proactively regulate growth, the Provincial People’s Committee has required relevant units to develop detailed GRDP growth scenarios for 2026 by quarter, six months, nine months, and the full year, ensuring a reasonable growth pace throughout the year. Specifically, GRDP is projected to increase by 9.84% in the first quarter, 9.48% in the second quarter, 10.21% in the third quarter, and 10.38% in the fourth quarter. Sectors and fields are also required to build specific growth roadmaps to strive toward the province’s overall growth target.

Promoting growth drivers

Alongside the GRDP growth target, Dong Nai has set additional objectives, including state budget revenue of 104 trillion dong (striving for a 10% increase), state budget expenditure of 58.7 trillion dong, the ratio of realized investment capital to GRDP at 30%, and the share of value added of digital economy at 15–17%. The province also aims to establish an additional 7,200 new enterprises and to build, complete, and put into use more than 8,000 social housing units.

To successfully implement the socio-economic development goals and targets for 2026 and create a growth foundation for the 2026–2030 period, the province is focusing on promoting growth by comprehensively leveraging multiple drivers, with Long Thanh International Airport serving as the core catalyst for spillover development. Traditional growth drivers (investment, consumption, and production-export) will continue to play a decisive role in economic growth. Achieving 100% disbursement of the public investment plan is considered a key factor in driving growth. At the same time, the province will further promote new growth drivers such as the digital economy, green economy, circular economy, creative economy, knowledge economy, and sharing economy, which form an important foundation for sustainable medium- and long-term growth.

Improving the business environment is identified as one of Dong Nai’s key tasks. According to Member of the Provincial Party Standing Committee and Standing Vice Chairman of the Provincial People’s Committee Nguyen Kim Long, with the goal of building a business-friendly and service-oriented government, Dong Nai is committed to further and more strongly improving the investment and business environment. This aims to successfully attract investors with strategic vision who align with the province’s sustainable development objectives.

Alongside public investment capital, funding for production and business activities is also crucial to driving growth. According to Nguyen Duc Lenh, Deputy Director of the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV)’s Region 2 branch, the impacts of policy management will spread to production, consumption, and exports. The banking sector in Dong Nai and Ho Chi Minh City will continue to effectively implement credit packages to promote key economic growth drivers, including export credit, consumer credit, green credit, credit for innovative startups, and credit for science and technology development.

By Vuong The – Translated by M.Nguyet, Thu Ha